Tamil Nadu Exit Polls LIVE: Stalin-led bloc or AIADMK entrance? Publish-poll predictions out at 6:30 pm
Up to date on: Apr 29, 2026 6:25:54 PM IST
Tamil Nadu Election Exit Polls LIVE: The exit ballot outcomes are more likely to emerge after 6:30 PM on Wednesday, 29 April.
Tamil Nadu Election Exit Polls LIVE: Polling for 234 Meeting constituencies was held on April 23 underneath tight safety. The state noticed a robust turnout of 84.29%, reflecting excessive voter participation in what’s being carefully watched as a key political contest. To type the federal government, any celebration or alliance should cross the midway mark of 118 seats.
Nevertheless, the political suspense is way from over. The exit ballot outcomes are more likely to emerge after 6:30 PM on Wednesday, 29 April.
Counting day on Might 4
Counting of votes throughout the 4 states — West Bengal, Assam, Kerala and Tamil Nadu together with Puducherry, is scheduled for Might 4. That’s when the precise numbers will resolve the winners.
Trying again at 2021: What exit polls stated
The final Meeting election in 2021 got here at a big second for Tamil Nadu. It was the primary election after the deaths of two towering political figures — J Jayalalithaa of the AIADMK and M Karunanidhi of the DMK.
Again then, most exit polls had pointed in the direction of a snug win for the DMK-led alliance. Predictions steered that MK Stalin’s camp would safe round 160 seats, whereas the AIADMK and its allies had been anticipated to win about 66 seats. TTV Dhinakaran’s AMMK was projected to get a marginal presence.
When the outcomes had been declared on Might 2, the broad course of these predictions held true. The DMK-led Secular Progressive Alliance received 159 seats, with the DMK itself claiming 133 sufficient for a transparent majority and its first decisive mandate in 25 years. The NDA secured 75 seats, together with 66 for the AIADMK. Notably, 11 ministers from the outgoing Palaniswami cupboard misplaced their seats.
Key candidates in fray
A complete of 4,023 candidates are within the fray throughout the state, together with a number of high-profile leaders. Chief minister MK Stalin is contesting from Kolathur in Chennai, searching for a second straight time period. His son and deputy CM Udhayanidhi Stalin is within the race from Chepauk-Thiruvallikeni.
On the opposite facet, AIADMK chief and Chief of Opposition Edappadi Ok Palaniswami is contesting from Edappadi in Salem district. Vijay, making his electoral debut, is contesting from two constituencies — Perambur in Chennai and Tiruchirappalli East.
Trying again at 2021 outcomes
The 2021 Meeting elections noticed a decisive victory for the DMK-led alliance, which secured 159 of the 234 seats. As compared, the AIADMK-led coalition received 75 seats, marking a transparent mandate for the DMK on the time.
Congress-DMK vs BJP-AIADMK
Throughout the marketing campaign, the DMK – contesting 164 seats and leaving 70 for its allies, together with the Congress – framed the election as a contest between Tamil Nadu and the “Delhi-NDA”, taking purpose on the BJP-led Centre.
The AIADMK, contesting 169 seats and allocating 65 to its allies, together with 27 for the BJP, countered this narrative by focusing on the DMK over points reminiscent of alleged dynasty politics, legislation and order considerations, rising debt, and claims round drug prevalence and security of girls and kids.
Vijay-led TVK, getting into electoral politics for the primary time, has fielded candidates in all 234 constituencies, signalling an formidable statewide push in its debut outing.
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Nevertheless, the political suspense is way from over. The exit ballot outcomes are more likely to emerge after 6:30 PM on Wednesday, 29 April.
Counting day on Might 4
Counting of votes throughout the 4 states — West Bengal, Assam, Kerala and Tamil Nadu together with Puducherry, is scheduled for Might 4. That’s when the precise numbers will resolve the winners.
Trying again at 2021: What exit polls stated
The final Meeting election in 2021 got here at a big second for Tamil Nadu. It was the primary election after the deaths of two towering political figures — J Jayalalithaa of the AIADMK and M Karunanidhi of the DMK.
Again then, most exit polls had pointed in the direction of a snug win for the DMK-led alliance. Predictions steered that MK Stalin’s camp would safe round 160 seats, whereas the AIADMK and its allies had been anticipated to win about 66 seats. TTV Dhinakaran’s AMMK was projected to get a marginal presence.
When the outcomes had been declared on Might 2, the broad course of these predictions held true. The DMK-led Secular Progressive Alliance received 159 seats, with the DMK itself claiming 133 sufficient for a transparent majority and its first decisive mandate in 25 years. The NDA secured 75 seats, together with 66 for the AIADMK. Notably, 11 ministers from the outgoing Palaniswami cupboard misplaced their seats.
Key candidates in fray
A complete of 4,023 candidates are within the fray throughout the state, together with a number of high-profile leaders. Chief minister MK Stalin is contesting from Kolathur in Chennai, searching for a second straight time period. His son and deputy CM Udhayanidhi Stalin is within the race from Chepauk-Thiruvallikeni.
On the opposite facet, AIADMK chief and Chief of Opposition Edappadi Ok Palaniswami is contesting from Edappadi in Salem district. Vijay, making his electoral debut, is contesting from two constituencies — Perambur in Chennai and Tiruchirappalli East.
Trying again at 2021 outcomes
The 2021 Meeting elections noticed a decisive victory for the DMK-led alliance, which secured 159 of the 234 seats. As compared, the AIADMK-led coalition received 75 seats, marking a transparent mandate for the DMK on the time.
Congress-DMK vs BJP-AIADMK
Throughout the marketing campaign, the DMK – contesting 164 seats and leaving 70 for its allies, together with the Congress – framed the election as a contest between Tamil Nadu and the “Delhi-NDA”, taking purpose on the BJP-led Centre.
The AIADMK, contesting 169 seats and allocating 65 to its allies, together with 27 for the BJP, countered this narrative by focusing on the DMK over points reminiscent of alleged dynasty politics, legislation and order considerations, rising debt, and claims round drug prevalence and security of girls and kids.
Vijay-led TVK, getting into electoral politics for the primary time, has fielded candidates in all 234 constituencies, signalling an formidable statewide push in its debut outing.
Observe all of the updates right here:
Apr 29, 2026 6:21:06 PM IS
Tamil Nadu Exit Polls LIVE: When will outcomes of Tamil Nadu elections be out?
Tamil Nadu Exit Polls LIVE: The outcomes of Tamil Nadu elections shall be out on Might 4.
Apr 29, 2026 6:16:55 PM IS
Tamil Nadu Election Exit Polls LIVE: What was the voter turnout in Tamil Nadu?
Tamil Nadu Election Exit Polls LIVE: Polling for 234 Meeting constituencies was held on April 23 underneath tight safety. The state noticed a robust turnout of 84.29%, reflecting excessive voter participation in what’s being carefully watched as a key political contest.
Apr 29, 2026 6:15:25 PM IS
Tamil Nadu Election Exit Polls LIVE: What Exit polls predicted for 2021 Election?
Tamil Nadu Election Exit Polls LIVE: Many of the exit ballot predictions in 2021 turned to be true for Tamil Nadu as MK Stalin-led celebration made a spirited comeback profitable round two-thirds of the seats, enabling it to type authorities with out the help of allies.
The pollsters have predicted an enormous win for Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) in Tamil Nadu within the 2021 meeting election.
India At this time-Axis My India projected 175-195 seats for DMK, whereas giving 38-54 seats to AIADMK within the Tamil Nadu meeting.
At this time’s Chanakya projected 175 seats for DMK, whereas predicting 57 seats for AIADMK. In the meantime, Republic-CNX exit ballot outcomes predicted 160-170 seats for DMK and 58-68 seats for AIADMK.
ABP CVoter has given 160-172 seats to Stalin’s celebration and 58-70 seats for the AIADMK.
Nevertheless, within the 2016, most pollsters had gone mistaken after they predicted a win for the DMK. The election outcomes turned out to be a large mandate for J Jayalalithaa as she retained the state, the primary for a celebration since 1984.
Apr 29, 2026 3:21:27 PM IS
Tamil Nadu Election Exit Polls LIVE: What occurred in 2021 polls in Tamil Nadu?
Tamil Nadu Election Exit Polls LIVE: In 2021, Stalin-led DMK registered a large win in opposition to the ruling AIADMK, seeing a turnout of 72.78 per cent. Whereas the DMK received 133 seats, its ally Congress received 18 seats of the 25 it contested.
The ruling AIADMK was lowered to 66 seats. Nevertheless, within the newest elections, the voter turnout has elevated by over 12 %, partly owing to the Particular Intensive Revision (SIR), throughout which 74 lakh deceased, duplicate and ineligible voters had been eliminated.
There’s additionally the TVK issue, which could make the bipolar contest right into a triangular one. It stays to be seen whether or not actor Vijay, who has been a crowd puller ever since launching a celebration, will handle to make a dent within the two-way DMK vs AIADMK contest.
