Bengal tight, BJP leads Assam, UDF forward in Kerala, DMK favoured
Most exit polls on Wednesday predicted a decent contest in West Bengal with the BJP having an edge, and the occasion’s return to energy in Assam. In Tamil Nadu, the polls predicted that the DMK was more likely to retain its maintain, whereas Kerala could witness a change of guard with the Congress-led UDF forward. The pollsters additionally forecast a return to energy for the AINRC-led NDA authorities in Puducherry.
Folks’s Pulse gave the Trinamool Congress (TMC) 177-187 seats, BJP 95-110, Left Entrance 0-1 and the Congress 1-3.
However Matrize and Instances Now JVC projected an edge for the BJP. Matrize gave the BJP 146-161 seats, and the TMC 125-140 seats. Instances Now JVC gave the BJP 138-159 seats, and the TMC 131-152 seats.
P-Marq gave the BJP 150-175 seats, towards the TMC’s 118-138.
Throughout projections, the Left remained largely marginal, with most estimates putting it in low single digits.
Voters present their ink-marked fingers after casting their votes within the second part of West Bengal Meeting elections 2026, at a polling sales space in Kolkata on Wednesday. (Credit: ANI Photograph)
Kerala (140 seats)
Whereas many of the exit polls predicted that the Congress-led UDF would win the elections, many indicated a detailed contest with the CPI(M)-led LDF. The LDF, led by Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayanhas been ruling Kerala for a decade.
Axis My India predicted that UDF would get 44% of the vote share, CPI(M)-led LDF would get 39%, and BJP-led NDA would get 14%. Within the 2021 Kerala Meeting elections, the distinction in vote share between the LDF and UDF was round 6%, resulting in the LDF successful 99 of the 140 seats.
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PMAQ mentioned UDF would win 71-79 seats, LDF 62-69 seats, and NDA 1-4 seats.
Ballot Matrix India predicted that UDF would rise up to 75 seats, LDF 60-65 seats, and NDA as much as 5 seats.
Kerala meeting on night of exit polls. (Categorical Photograph)
JVC predicted UDF would get 72-84 seats, LDF as much as 61 seats, and NDA 3-7 seats.
Folks’s Pulse mentioned UDF would win 75-85 seats, LDF 55-65 seats, and NDA as much as 3 seats.
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Within the 2021 Meeting elections, 10 of the 11 exit polls had predicted that the LDF would retain energy, with many placing its tally at 93-111 seats. The LDF had received 99 seats then.
Tamil Nadu (234 seats)
Most exit polls predicted an edge for the ruling DMK-led alliance, whereas two polls projected an AIADMK comeback, with Vijay’s Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) rising as essentially the most unsure variable within the contest.
The Ballot of Polls positioned the DMK at 112-129 seats, AIADMK at 86-103, TVK at 13-19 and others at 1–5, suggesting a detailed contest during which the ruling alliance should still have a path to majority, however with out the sweep projected by some particular person surveys.
The widest pro-DMK projection got here from Praja Ballot, which gave the ruling aspect 148-168 seats and AIADMK 61-81. It gave no seats to the TVK and 1-9 to others.
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P-Marq projected a DMK win with 125-145 seats, AIADMK at 65-85, TVK at 16-26 and others at 1-6.
Matrize positioned the DMK simply above the bulk mark at 122-132 seats, AIADMK at 87-100, TVK at 10-12 and others at 0-6.
Folks’s Pulse additionally projected a DMK benefit, giving it 125-145 seats, towards 65-80 for the AIADMK, 18-24 for TVK and 2-6 for others.
Folks’s Perception gave the DMK 120-140 seats, AIADMK 60-70, and TVK 30-40 seats — the strongest projection for Vijay’s new occasion among the many surveys launched Wednesday.
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However two exit polls pointed in the wrong way. JVC projected a transparent AIADMK victory, giving it 128-147 seats, DMK 75-95, TVK 8-15 and no seats to others. Vote Vibe additionally positioned the AIADMK forward, with 114-124 seats, towards 103-113 for the DMK, 4-10 for TVK and none for others.
Assam (126 seats)
In Assam, exit polls indicated a transparent lead for the BJP, reinforcing its place within the Northeast.
Matrize and Instances Now JVC projected the BJP at 85-101 seats, comfortably above the bulk mark. Axis estimates positioned it at 88-100 seats, with the Congress trailing at 24-36.
The Congress is projected to win 23-33 seats throughout polls, whereas AIUDF and others are anticipated to stay in single digits.
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Most exit polls have had a chequered historical past and have been off the mark on a number of events up to now.
The counting of votes for all of the 5 assemblies — West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Kerala and Assam — can be taken up on Could 4.
Polls have been carried out in a single part in Assam, Kerala, Puducherry and Tamil Nadu. West Bengal noticed two-phase polling on April 23 and 29.
